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Comparison · dataset August 2026

Physician vs Radiologist: which is more exposed to AI?

A 20-point gap separates these roles — Physician is the more defensible seat.

Radiologist sits at 56% time-weighted AI exposure against 36% for Physician, a 20-point gap driven by the 40% of radiologist work time that current models can already substitute outright. Physician holds a larger human-critical core — 56% of the role's time sits in work like "emergency and surgical judgment" that models score poorly on. Both roles sit inside Healthcare, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

20PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICPHYSICIANRADIOLOGISTDELTA
AI exposure36%56%20pp gap
Resilience score84/10060/10024pt gap
Substitutable work time0%40%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time56%32%Models score poorly here
Median salary$236k$486k$250k apart
10-year growth3%2%Physician
US workforce756k28kBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Radiologists spend 40% of their time-weighted week on tasks a current model can produce end-to-end, against 0% for Physicians. The single largest contributor is "routine scan reading (chest x-ray, ct)", graded at 84% and worth 28% of the role's time. That one task accounts for more of the gap than any difference in seniority, tooling, or industry.

Physician
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Emergency and surgical judgment6% · 8% time
    • Patient examination and assessment8% · 22% time
    • Patient communication and consent9% · 10% time
    Radiologist
    MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    • Routine scan reading (chest X-ray, CT)84% · 28% time
    • Detect common pathologies76% · 12% time
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Interventional procedures8% · 10% time
    • Clinical correlation and consultation16% · 8% time
    • Complex multi-system case interpretation24% · 14% time
    What transfers

    Both roles lean on cognitive, judgement, procedural — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. The real divide is social: Physicians score 84 there against 48 for Radiologists, a 36-point spread. That is the gap you would actually have to close.

    DIMENSIONPHYSICIANRADIOLOGIST
    Social8448
    Manual7254
    Switching between them
    LowDIFFICULTY

    Radiologist appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Physicians: the move raises exposure by 20 points, landing at 56%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 18 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

    Common questions.

    Is Physician or Radiologist more at risk from AI?

    Radiologist. It scores 56% time-weighted AI exposure against 36% for Physician — a 20-point gap. 40% of radiologist work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Physicians.

    Which pays more, Physician or Radiologist?

    Radiologist, by roughly $250k at the median ($486k versus $236k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the more AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

    Can a physician switch to being a radiologist?

    Radiologist appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Physicians: the move raises exposure by 20 points, landing at 56%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 18 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Which role is growing faster, Physician or Radiologist?

    Physician, at 3% projected ten-year growth versus 2% — a 1-point difference. Growth and AI exposure are separate signals: a role can grow in headcount while the content of the work is substantially rewritten.

    Career families
    Healthcare
    Methodology
    Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.