Loading
Comparison · dataset August 2026

Construction Laborer vs Plumber: which is more exposed to AI?

Effectively tied: 1 point separates Construction Laborers from Plumbers.

Construction Laborer scores 15% time-weighted AI exposure and Plumber scores 16% — close enough that the headline number tells you almost nothing. The difference lives underneath it: Construction Laborers lose the most ground on "review safety briefings and site instructions" (42%), while for Plumbers it is "read and interpret plumbing plans" (44%). Both roles sit inside Trades & Construction, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

1PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICCONSTRUCTION LABORERPLUMBERDELTA
AI exposure15%16%1pp gap
Resilience score93/10094/1001pt gap
Substitutable work time0%0%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time92%92%Models score poorly here
Median salary$46k$62k$16k apart
10-year growth4%2%Construction Laborer
US workforce1.6M494kBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Both roles hand a similar slice of the week to substitutable work — 0% for Construction Laborers, 0% for Plumbers — but it is different work. Construction Laborer exposure concentrates in "review safety briefings and site instructions"; Plumber exposure concentrates in "read and interpret plumbing plans". Two roles can share a score and face completely different disruption timelines.

Construction Laborer
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Use hand and power tools4% · 24% time
    • Move materials and prepare work areas6% · 28% time
    • Assist skilled trades on-site8% · 18% time
    Plumber
    MOST EXPOSED TASKS
      HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
      • Install pipes, fixtures, and systems4% · 36% time
      • Diagnose and repair leaks and blockages12% · 28% time
      • Inspect existing plumbing systems14% · 14% time
      What transfers

      Both roles lean on manual, procedural, judgement — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. Beyond that, the two capability profiles are unusually close: no dimension separates them by more than 15 points, which is why the switch difficulty below reads the way it does.

      Switching between them
      LowDIFFICULTY

      Plumber appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Construction Laborers: the move raises exposure by 1 points, landing at 16%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 8 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

      Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

      Common questions.

      Is Construction Laborer or Plumber more at risk from AI?

      Plumber. It scores 16% time-weighted AI exposure against 15% for Construction Laborer — a 1-point gap. 0% of plumber work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Construction Laborers.

      Which pays more, Construction Laborer or Plumber?

      Plumber, by roughly $16k at the median ($62k versus $46k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the more AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

      Can a construction laborer switch to being a plumber?

      Plumber appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Construction Laborers: the move raises exposure by 1 points, landing at 16%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 8 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

      Which role is growing faster, Construction Laborer or Plumber?

      Construction Laborer, at 4% projected ten-year growth versus 2% — a 2-point difference. Growth and AI exposure are separate signals: a role can grow in headcount while the content of the work is substantially rewritten.

      Career families
      Trades & Construction
      Methodology
      Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.