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Comparison · dataset August 2026

Carpenter vs Construction Laborer: which is more exposed to AI?

Carpenter carries 5 points more AI exposure than Construction Laborer.

Carpenter sits at 20% time-weighted AI exposure against 15% for Construction Laborer, a 5-point gap driven by the 16% of carpenter work time that current models can already substitute outright. Construction Laborer holds a larger human-critical core — 92% of the role's time sits in work like "use hand and power tools" that models score poorly on. Both roles sit inside Trades & Construction, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

5PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICCARPENTERCONSTRUCTION LABORERDELTA
AI exposure20%15%5pp gap
Resilience score80/10093/10013pt gap
Substitutable work time16%0%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time67%92%Models score poorly here
Median salary$56k$46k$10k apart
10-year growth4%4%Carpenter
US workforce950k1.6MBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Carpenters spend 16% of their time-weighted week on tasks a current model can produce end-to-end, against 0% for Construction Laborers. The single largest contributor is "handle invoices and paperwork", graded at 76% and worth 3% of the role's time. That one task accounts for more of the gap than any difference in seniority, tooling, or industry.

Carpenter
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
  • Handle invoices and paperwork76% · 3% time
  • Estimate materials and quotes72% · 6% time
  • Order materials70% · 3% time
  • Draft simple plans and layouts68% · 4% time
HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
  • Execute finish carpentry and trim6% · 20% time
  • Frame structures on site8% · 28% time
  • Fabricate custom pieces12% · 12% time
Construction Laborer
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Use hand and power tools4% · 24% time
    • Move materials and prepare work areas6% · 28% time
    • Assist skilled trades on-site8% · 18% time
    What transfers

    Both roles lean on manual, judgement — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. The real divide is creative: Carpenters score 42 there against 18 for Construction Laborers, a 24-point spread. That is the gap you would actually have to close.

    DIMENSIONCARPENTERCONSTRUCTION LABORER
    Creative4218
    Procedural5276
    Switching between them
    LowDIFFICULTY

    Construction Laborer appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Carpenters: the move lowers exposure by 5 points, landing at 15%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 15 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

    Common questions.

    Is Carpenter or Construction Laborer more at risk from AI?

    Carpenter. It scores 20% time-weighted AI exposure against 15% for Construction Laborer — a 5-point gap. 16% of carpenter work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Construction Laborers.

    Which pays more, Carpenter or Construction Laborer?

    Carpenter, by roughly $10k at the median ($56k versus $46k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the more AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

    Can a carpenter switch to being a construction laborer?

    Construction Laborer appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Carpenters: the move lowers exposure by 5 points, landing at 15%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 15 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Which role is growing faster, Carpenter or Construction Laborer?

    Both are projected at 4% over ten years (about avg).

    Career families
    Trades & Construction
    Methodology
    Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.